Donald Trump’s emergence as the last man standing in the Republican
presidential race has prompted his critics inside the party to intensify
their search for a candidate they could back as a serious third-party
alternative.
Political operatives are courting donors, calling potential candidates
and developing legal contingency plans for overcoming onerous ballot
qualification laws.
“This is as much as anything a battle for the future of American party
politics,” said Republican strategist Joel Searby, who is working with
conservative writer Bill Kristol, among others, on an effort to identify
a third-party candidate to run in the Nov. 8 presidential election.
A separate group, Conservatives Against Trump, which includes blogger
Erick Erickson, has been holding calls and meetings to discuss
third-party candidates as well as other options to stop the New York
billionaire from winning the White House.
The hurdles to a third-party candidacy are immense. No independent
candidate has ever won a presidential election, although some have
played spoilers. But the efforts by the Republican groups underscore the
unusual divisiveness of Trump’s candidacy within Republican ranks ahead
of a likely general election fight with Democratic front-runner Hillary
Clinton.
Trump’s opposition to free trade is at odds with the views of many
Republicans, especially in the party’s business wing. Many of Trump’s
critics also find his rhetoric offensive, including his call to
temporarily bar Muslims from entering the country and his comment
describing Mexican immigrants to the United States as rapists and drug
dealers.
Some Republicans say they worry that any third-party candidate would
only siphon votes away from Trump and help Clinton win the election.
Ralph Nader’s independent presidential run has been blamed by some
Democrats for the razor-thin defeat of Democratic nominee Al Gore in the
2000 election. Ross Perot’s independent candidacy in 1992 was seen by
some Republicans as contributing to President George H.W. Bush’s loss to
Democrat Bill Clinton.
One outcome, though rare, may be that no candidate crosses the necessary
threshold of 270 votes in the U.S. Electoral College. In that case, the
vote for the next president would pass to the U.S. House of
Representatives, currently controlled by Republicans.
Deborah DeMoss Fonseca, who recruited donors for former Republican
presidential candidate Jeb Bush and is working with Conservatives
Against Trump, said her group was trying to find a candidate who would
be high-profile enough to compete with Trump and Clinton.
NO EASY TASK
But finding a candidate of that caliber who would be willing to run is
no easy feat. Searby’s group has reached out to former Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice and James Mattis, a retired U.S. Marine Corps
general, among others, but both declined after discussions.
Republican U.S. Senator Ben Sasse of Nebraska has emerged as a favorite
of the Republicans seeking a third-party candidate. Kristol has had warm
words for him.
Sasse, a freshman lawmaker and former Bush administration official, is a
strong critic of Trump and has called for an alternative candidate to
him. But he says that person should be someone other than him.
On Wednesday, the morning after Trump emerged as the presumptive
presidential nominee, phones at the office of Libertarian Party
candidate Gary Johnson were ringing off the hook with calls from
small-government Republicans who feel they cannot get behind Trump.
But as a Libertarian, Johnson holds views on some issues, such as the
legalization of marijuana, that are antithetical to the views of some
Republicans.
In March, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, an independent, said
he had considered jumping into the race as a third-party candidate but
opted against it, saying he feared it would only serve to help get Trump
elected.
One of the biggest hurdles to a third-party run is simply getting on the ballot in enough states to mount a viable campaign.
Texas requires more than 79,000 signatures from voters who did not
participate in either primary. Its deadline is Monday. Among other
states, North Carolina’s deadline is the end of May, and Illinois and
Florida in mid-July.
“A third-party candidate is a pipe dream,” said Republican strategist
Tony Fratto, who worked in Bush’s administration and strongly opposes
Trump. “What’s going to happen is Hillary Clinton is going to win big.
It won’t be close.”
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